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CHART READING: THE BASICS
To be profitable in today's world technology and advancement,
one must be proficient and reading and more importantly understanding
chart patterns and basic technical indicators. Below is just a
few basic points to your understanding the technical analysis
of currency chart reading.
Pricing
- Price reflect the perceptions and action taken by the market
participants. It is the urgency between buyers and sellers in
the trading pit that creates price movement. Thus, all fundamental
factors are quickly discounted in price. Therefore, by studying
the price charts, you are indirectly seeing the fundamental and
market psychology all at once - after all the market is feed by
two emotions - Greed and Fear and once you understand that, then
you begin to understand the psychology of the market and how it
relates to the chart patterns.
Data Window
- Most computer programs will display a small box of data
usually called a display window which will contain the following
items:
O = Opening
Price
H = Highest Price
L = Lowest Price
C = Close or Last Price
Tr = Volume or number of trades ( not contracts ) in that time
period.
Price Bars
- Price bars are a linear representation of a period of time.
This enables the viewer to see a graphic representation summarizing
the activity of a specific time frame. As an example, we use one
minute and five-minute bars for our system. Each bar has similar
characteristics and tells the viewer several important pieces
of information. First, the highest point of the bar represents
the highest price that was achieved during that timer period.
The lowest point of the bar represents the lowest price during
the same period. Regular bars display a small dot on the left
side of the bar which represents the opening price of the period
and the small dot on the right side represent s the closing price
of the period.
Candlesticks
- Japanese Candlesticks, or simply Candlesticks as they are now
known, are used to represent the same information as Price bars.
The only difference is that the difference between the open and
close form the body of a box which is displayed with a color inside.
A red color means that the close was lower than the open, and
the blue color represents that the close what higher than the
open. If the box has a line going up from the box it represents
the high and is called the wick. If the box has a line going down
from the box, it represents the low and is called the tail. Many
interpretations can be made from these "candlesticks"
and many books have been written on the art of interpreting these
bars.
Market
Types - The market often display's some very familiar patterns
of price movement. Once a pattern is established, it becomes the
most probable course of future price action until the market changes.
There are two types of markets which become important for the
beginning trader to identify; trending and trend-less. Each market
type has two specific patterns which you will also notice over
time. These market types and patterns can be defined as follows:
Trending
- Steady elongated price movements with less than a 45-degree
angel with occasional pauses, profit taking, or resting periods.
Uptrends
- A pattern of higher highs and higher lows.
Downtrends - A pattern of lower lows and lower highs.
Trend-less
- Erratic price movements which are often steep ( greater than
45 -degree angle ) and cannot sustain and therefore must reverse.
Although the movements can move many points in a short period
of time, they often result in very little net price movement over
time.
Choppy
- An erratic pattern of higher highs and lower lows.
Sideways - A narrow pattern of lower highs and higher lows.
While up-trend
and down-trend days can offer excellent trading results, choppy
markets often create stop outs, while sideways markets produce
for little in either direction. Our trading objective is to get
into a trending market and ride until we make our target objective.
Volume
- Four easy rules to follow regarding Volume:
1. When prices
are rising and volume is increasing, prices will continue to rise.
The uptrend is being confirmed.
2. When prices
are rising but volume is decreasing, the uptrend is losing momentum
and may be near the end.
3. When prices
are falling and volume is increasing, prices will continue to
fall.
4. When prices
are falling and volume is decreasing, the downtrend is losing
momentum and may be near the end.
Gaps
- Gaps are simply price ranges on a chart where a closing price
and the next opening price are far apart and create a large open
space in between the price bars. There are two major types of
gaps:
1. Common
Gaps - These gaps are usually found on the opening but may happen
during the trading day. These gaps are usually the result of a
public reaction to some event or news item such as a change in
the interest rates. These gaps are usually assumed to have no
special meaning and are usually filled within a day or two.
2. Breakaway
Gaps - The breakaway gap often accompanies a breakout from a congestion
area or a consolidation pattern. If it is a real breakaway gap,
its signals the beginning of a rapid price move, or at least a
sustainable trend. Breakaway gaps are not filled for several weeks
or months if they are filled at all.
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